Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ascoli in this match.
