SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Cremonese |
33.23% ( 0.8) | 27.3% ( 0.07) | 39.47% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% ( -0.12) | 55.85% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% ( -0.1) | 76.97% ( 0.1) |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% ( 0.48) | 31.45% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.17% ( 0.56) | 67.83% ( -0.56) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( -0.55) | 27.63% ( 0.55) |
