Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
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