Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 50.16%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
1.85) 
-0.43) 
