Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
