Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
