Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.02) 
