Serie A | Gameweek 38

Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
2 - 0
Salernitana

Buonaiuto (26' pen.), Tsadjout (88')
Ghiglione (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coulibaly (39'), Piatek (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 3-2 Cremonese
Sunday, May 28 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 3-2 Udinese
Saturday, May 27 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cremonese 1-1 Salernitana

All but one of Salernitana's away games under Sousa have been draws, with 1-1 being the most popular outcome. Thus, another low-scoring stalemate could be on the cards at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Salernitana
47.08% ( 3.87)	26.89% ( 0.32)	26.02% ( -4.19)

Both teams to score 47.21% (

-3.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.82% (

-3.3)

57.19% (

3.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.96% (

-2.7)

78.04% (

2.7)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7% (

0.43)

24.31% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.32% (

0.61)

58.69% (

-0.6)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.37% (

-5.08)

37.64% (

5.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.59% (

-5.33)

74.41% (

5.33)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 47.08%

Salernitana 26.02%

Draw 26.89%

Cremonese	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 1.69) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 1.29) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.45% Total : 47.08%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 1.1) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.58) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.91) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.7) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.64) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.47) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.43) Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.02%