SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Cremonese |
| 55.6% | 23.84% | 20.56% |
| Both teams to score 49.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% | 50.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% | 72.41% |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% | 18.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.11% | 48.88% |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.95% | 39.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.23% | 75.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% 2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.59% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 6.61% 1-2 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.43% Total : 20.56% |
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