Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.