Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.