Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
