Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
