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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
BL

Crotone
4 - 1
Benevento

Glik (5' og.), Simy (29', 54'), Vulic (65')
Messias (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Falque (82')
Insigne (29'), Ionita (44'), Barba (71'), Dabo (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
CrotoneDrawBenevento
31.44%25.45%43.11%
Both teams to score 54.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19%48.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09%70.91%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89%29.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96%65.04%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44%22.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84%56.16%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 31.44%
    Benevento 43.11%
    Draw 25.44%
CrotoneDrawBenevento
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.44%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 9.78%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 7.28%
1-3 @ 4.46%
0-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 43.11%

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