SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Cremonese |
37.82% ( 0.44) | 27.99% ( 0.13) | 34.18% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 47.7% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.68% ( -0.56) | 58.32% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.06% ( -0.44) | 78.94% ( 0.44) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( -0.02) | 29.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.15% ( -0.02) | 65.85% ( 0.01) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( -0.67) | 32.07% ( 0.66) |
