It is quite rare for the same teams to play each other twice in a row in different competitions, but at the same time, the game dynamics in cup competitions are usually different than in league matches, which can add an element of unpredictability.
Cremonese go into this match in the better form overall and should take advantage of Cittadella's lack of confidence, but the margins should not be too big and a single goal can be the decider.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (8.25%).
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