Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cittadella in this match.