Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
2.14) 
-2.43) 
