Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Spezia
45.06% ( -0.26)	26.27% ( 0.11)	28.67% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 50.86% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.63% (

-0.34)

53.37% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.09% (

-0.29)

74.91% (

0.28)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.4% (

-0.27)

23.6% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.32% (

-0.39)

57.68% (

0.39)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.57% (

-0.06)

33.43% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.94% (

-0.06)

70.06% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Palermo 45.06%

Spezia 28.67%

Draw 26.27%

Palermo	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.06%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 28.67%