SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%).
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Spezia |
36.7% ( -0.04) | 24.69% ( 0.09) | 38.61% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.87% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( -0.45) | 44.22% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% ( -0.44) | 66.6% ( 0.44) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( -0.23) | 23.77% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.08% ( -0.33) | 57.92% ( 0.32) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( -0.23) | 22.77% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.53% ( -0.34) | 56.47% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Spezia |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.61% |
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