Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
0.69) 
-0.99) 
