SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Modena in this match.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Reggina |
45.57% ( -0.02) | 26.47% ( -0) | 27.97% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.51% ( 0.03) | 54.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.15% ( 0.02) | 75.85% ( -0.02) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( 0) | 23.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.96% ( -0) | 58.03% ( 0) |
| Reggina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% ( 0.04) | 34.57% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.71% ( 0.04) | 71.29% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Modena | Draw | Reggina |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.76% 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 27.97% |
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