SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brescia | 6 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Reggina | 5 | 9 | 12 |
| 3 | Cagliari | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Bari | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | SPAL | 5 | 1 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.31%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Reggina win was 1-0 (12.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reggina | Draw | Cittadella |
34.09% ( -0.16) | 29.71% ( 0.42) | 36.2% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 42.89% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.8% ( -1.38) | 64.19% ( 1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.68% ( -0.99) | 83.32% ( 0.99) |
| Reggina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% ( -0.85) | 35.21% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.03% ( -0.9) | 71.97% ( 0.89) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% ( -0.89) | 33.79% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.98) | 70.45% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reggina | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.13% Total : 34.09% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 7% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.2% |
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