Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
Como	Draw	Ternana
47.58% ( -0.89)	25.79% ( 0.37)	26.63% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 50.88% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.34% (

-1.14)

52.65% (

1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.7% (

-0.98)

74.3% (

0.98)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.87% (

-0.86)

22.13% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.49% (

-1.32)

55.51% (

1.32)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.34% (

-0.19)

34.66% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.61% (

-0.2)

71.38% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Como 47.57%

Ternana 26.63%

Draw 25.78%

Como	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.57%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.63%