Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0) 
