Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Cittadella	Draw	Ternana
42.39% ( -0.01)	28.26% ( -0.01)	29.35% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.51% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.62% (

0.05)

60.38% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.48% (

0.04)

80.53% (

-0.03)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.84% (

0.02)

28.17% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.15% (

0.02)

63.85% (

-0.02)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.35% (

0.05)

36.65% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.56% (

0.05)

73.44% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Cittadella 42.39%

Ternana 29.35%

Draw 28.25%

Cittadella	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 13.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.71% Total : 42.39%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 29.35%