Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezia in this match.
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