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Serie B | Gameweek 35
May 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
5 - 0
Modena

Pohjanpalo (32', 54', 72', 79' pen.), Zampano (82')
Carboni (42'), Svoboda (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tremolada (75'), Ponsi (87')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Venezia and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ternana 1-4 Venezia
Sunday, April 23 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 0-0 SPAL
Saturday, April 22 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Modena had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.

Result
VeneziaDrawModena
48.61% (-0.64 -0.64) 24.57% (0.173 0.17) 26.82% (0.467 0.47)
Both teams to score 54.84% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47% (-0.391 -0.39)47.53% (0.39 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.27% (-0.363 -0.36)69.73% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (-0.416 -0.42)19.61% (0.415 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (-0.681 -0.68)51.55% (0.68 0.68)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (0.161 0.16)31.78% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (0.186 0.19)68.21% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 48.61%
    Modena 26.82%
    Draw 24.57%
VeneziaDrawModena
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.27% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.14% (0.146 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 26.82%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ternana 1-4 Venezia
Sunday, April 23 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 3-2 Palermo
Saturday, April 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Reggina 1-0 Venezia
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 3-2 Como
Saturday, April 1 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 0-1 Venezia
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 1-1 Brescia
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 0-0 SPAL
Saturday, April 22 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 1-1 Parma
Friday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Perugia 0-1 Modena
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 0-0 Cittadella
Sunday, April 2 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Palermo 5-2 Modena
Friday, March 17 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 1-0 Pisa
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Serie B


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