Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
-0.27) 
0.05) 
