Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.26) 
