Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Brescia | 38 | 20 | 66 |
6 | Ascoli | 38 | 10 | 65 |
7 | Benevento | 38 | 23 | 63 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Perugia | 38 | 8 | 58 |
10 | Ternana | 38 | -3 | 54 |
11 | Cittadella | 38 | 2 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Ascoli | Draw | Ternana |
46.59% | 25.35% | 28.06% |
Both teams to score 53.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50% | 50% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.02% | 71.98% |
Ascoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.53% | 21.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.5% | 54.5% |
Ternana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.87% | 32.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.39% | 68.61% |
Score Analysis |
Ascoli | Draw | Ternana |
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.43% Total : 46.59% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.06% |
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