Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
