Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Ternana
48.35% ( 0.02)	24.72% ( 0)	26.93% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.46% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.92% (

-0.02)

48.07% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.76% (

-0.02)

70.24% (

0.02)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.07% (

-0)

19.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.93%

52.07% (

-0)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.01% (

-0.03)

31.98% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.55% (

-0.03)

68.44% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 48.35%

Ternana 26.93%

Draw 24.72%

Ascoli	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 48.35%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 26.93%