Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
