SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palermo | Draw | Benevento |
42.9% ( 0.07) | 27.39% ( 0.01) | 29.7% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.1% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.82% ( -0.08) | 57.18% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.96% ( -0.06) | 78.04% ( 0.06) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( -0) | 26.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.45% ( -0) | 61.55% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.34% ( -0.1) | 34.65% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.62% ( -0.11) | 71.38% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palermo | Draw | Benevento |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.7% |
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