Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 46.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 26.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
0.98) 
-1.1) 
