SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Catanzaro | Draw | Parma |
42.56% ( 0.36) | 25.75% ( -0.12) | 31.7% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.03% ( 0.45) | 49.97% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% ( 0.4) | 71.95% ( -0.4) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( 0.37) | 23.34% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.71% ( 0.54) | 57.29% ( -0.54) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( 0.07) | 29.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( 0.08) | 65.54% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Catanzaro | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.7% |
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