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PL
Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
SL

Parma
1 - 3
Sassuolo

Alves (32')
Kurtic (28')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Locatelli (25' pen.), Defrel (62'), Boga (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Parma had a probability of 21.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 0-1 (8.36%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawSassuolo
21.84%21.47%56.69%
Both teams to score 59.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.54%38.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.24%60.75%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69%30.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7%67.3%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.55%13.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.56%40.44%
Score Analysis
    Parma 21.84%
    Sassuolo 56.69%
    Draw 21.47%
ParmaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 5.74%
1-0 @ 4.88%
2-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 21.84%
1-1 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.47%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-2 @ 8.39%
0-1 @ 8.36%
1-3 @ 6.57%
0-3 @ 5.61%
2-3 @ 3.85%
1-4 @ 3.3%
0-4 @ 2.81%
2-4 @ 1.93%
1-5 @ 1.32%
0-5 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 56.69%

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