Genoa
3 - 2
Perugia

Criscito (26' pen.), Hernani (41'), Kallon (88')
Biraschi (38'), Pandev (56')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Carretta (2'), Lisi (10')
Burrai (25'), Dell'Orco (30'), Vanbaleghem (52')
Curado (40')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Genoa and Perugia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Perugia
26.65%	24.05%	49.3%

Both teams to score 56.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.62%

45.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.28%

67.72%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.22%

30.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.95%

67.05%

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.51%

18.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.3%

49.7%

Score Analysis

Genoa 26.65%

Perugia 49.3%

Draw 24.04%

Genoa	Draw	Perugia
1-0 @ 6.71% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 3.95% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.65%	1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-2 @ 8.11% 1-3 @ 5.38% 0-3 @ 4.56% 2-3 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.3%