Perugia
2 - 3
Ascoli

Carretta (22'), Rosi (49')
Burrai (17'), Lisi (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Saric (4', 55'), Dionisi (60' pen.)
Buchel (21'), Dionisi (51'), Botteghin (69'), Eramo (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Ascoli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 14.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Perugia	Draw	Ascoli
63.7%	21.49%	14.81%

Both teams to score 46.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.27%

49.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.26%

71.73%

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.04%

14.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.62%

43.38%

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.41%

45.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.6%

81.4%

Score Analysis

Perugia 63.69%

Ascoli 14.81%

Draw 21.48%

Perugia	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 6.12% 4-0 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.41% 5-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.19% Total : 63.69%	1-1 @ 10.17% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.48%	0-1 @ 5.36% 1-2 @ 4% 0-2 @ 2.1% 1-3 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.31% Total : 14.81%