Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Pordenone Calcio win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Perugia in this match.