Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
