Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
