Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
