Ascoli
2 - 1
Crotone

Falasco (84'), Maistro (90')
Botteghin (15'), Saric (39'), Bellusci (85'), Maistro (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lhassine Kone (54')
Sala (44'), Estevez (70'), Lhassine Kone (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Crotone.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Crotone
47.58%	25.62%	26.8%

Both teams to score 51.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.13%

51.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.38%

73.62%

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.19%

21.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.98%

55.01%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.9%

34.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.21%

70.79%

Score Analysis

Ascoli 47.58%

Crotone 26.8%

Draw 25.61%

Ascoli	Draw	Crotone
1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.31% Total : 47.58%	1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.26% Total : 26.8%