Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
2.28) 
-0.51) 
