SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Modena in this match.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Pisa |
37.66% ( 0.03) | 26.86% ( 0.08) | 35.48% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.18% ( -0.33) | 53.82% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.71% ( -0.28) | 75.29% ( 0.28) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( -0.14) | 27.7% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% ( -0.18) | 63.25% ( 0.19) |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( -0.23) | 28.99% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( -0.28) | 64.89% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Modena | Draw | Pisa |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.48% |
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