Serie B | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera
FT(HT: 2-1)
Battistella (31'), Abiuso (59')
Ponsi (7'), Tremolada (22'), Pergreffi (38'),
Strizzolo (76'), Abiuso (84')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Modena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Modena had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.
| Result |
| Palermo | Draw | Modena |
48.88% ( 0.29) | 25.41% ( -0.04) | 25.7% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 51.23% ( -0.11) |
| 48.18% ( -0.03) | 51.81% ( 0.03) |
| 26.42% ( -0.03) | 73.58% ( 0.03) |
| 78.78% ( 0.11) | 21.21% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.89% ( 0.18) | 54.1% ( -0.17) |
| 65.02% ( -0.23) | 34.97% ( 0.23) |
