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Serie B | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Pisa
4 - 2
Modena

Gliozzi (45+3' pen.), Torregrossa (74', 90+9' pen.), Masucci (82')
Calabresi (41'), Rus (55'), Torregrossa (62'), Hermannsson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bonfanti (19'), Magnino (84')
Bonfanti (32'), Gagno (90+8')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Pisa and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palermo 3-3 Pisa
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 4-2 Modena
Thursday, October 20 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Modena had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.

Result
PisaDrawModena
45.51% (-0.508 -0.51) 26.12% (0.098000000000003 0.1) 28.36% (0.41 0.41)
Both teams to score 51.11% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.04% (-0.171 -0.17)52.96% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.44% (-0.146 -0.15)74.56% (0.14399999999999 0.14)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.312 -0.31)23.21% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.456 -0.46)57.11% (0.453 0.45)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (0.22500000000001 0.23)33.45% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (0.246 0.25)70.08% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Pisa 45.51%
    Modena 28.36%
    Draw 26.12%
PisaDrawModena
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 45.51%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.109 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.36%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Palermo 3-3 Pisa
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 0-0 Parma
Saturday, October 8 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Perugia 1-3 Pisa
Saturday, October 1 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 1-1 Pisa
Saturday, September 17 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 0-1 Reggina
Saturday, September 10 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 2-1 Pisa
Sunday, September 4 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 4-2 Modena
Thursday, October 20 at 2pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Modena 5-1 Como
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 1-2 Modena
Saturday, October 8 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 1-0 Reggina
Saturday, October 1 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Modena
Saturday, September 17 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 1-3 Brescia
Saturday, September 10 at 2pm in Serie B


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