Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.
Result | ||
Reggina | Draw | SPAL |
40.03% | 28.18% | 31.79% |
Both teams to score 46.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.63% | 59.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.24% | 79.75% |
Reggina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71% | 29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.1% | 64.89% |
SPAL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.72% | 34.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.02% | 70.97% |
Score Analysis |
Reggina | Draw | SPAL |
1-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.63% Total : 40.03% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.94% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.79% |
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