Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.